Previous 7 days, I was speaking about NFL Most Precious Player odds in this room. Here’s what I wrote concerning the struggle involving Brock Purdy, who entered the 7 days as a -200 most loved at FanDuel, and Lamar Jackson, who was the next decision, at +525 at Caesars: “A Ravens get on Jackson’s back again could flip the odds for the award throughout the mobile betting applications.”
So it is prepared …
Immediately after the Ravens’ dominant victory, Jackson is now the hefty favored, with DraftKings getting the greatest odds at -170, while Purdy has dropped all the way down to +1400 at FanDuel.
But guess what? If the Dolphins go into Baltimore and defeat the Ravens, and if Tua Tagovailoa has a fantastic game — not even a fantastic sport, but just a fantastic recreation — watch what comes about to his +1000 odds at DraftKings.
And if Tyreek Hill goes 12-250-3, he’ll go from a +2500 canine at BetMGM to the favourite.
But what if the Dolphins acquire 17-13 guiding their floor recreation, and Purdy heads to D.C. and carves up the Commanders? Or what if Christian McCaffrey — +650 at FanDuel — is the engine that will get the 49ers back again on track?
Of training course, if all these players bust and Dak Prescott goes for 400 and a quartet of TDs Saturday night in opposition to the Lions, his +2500 odds at Caesars will crater. Oh, and really do not forget about Josh Allen, the quarterback who is having the very best statistical year and is singlehandedly top the Charges to the playoffs. He’s +1400 at BetMGM.
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Of program, we all know who the genuine MVP is: Joe Flacco, 250/1 at guess365.
My goodness, do I adore this market place. On to Week 17!
The +1000 or extra parlay of the week
Now we’re -16. Did not appear close. Should’ve just tailed the massive 14-leg anytime landing parlay above there at DraftKings. Oh very well. Get some, reduce most.
A bettor in New Jersey with @DKSportsbook hit a $5, 14-leg TD scorer yesterday that at +9787560 paid out $489,373.01.
It is the longest odds for any winning bet in 2023 at DraftKings and the third-longest in the sportsbook’s history. pic.twitter.com/m5dOT3aqZY
— David Payne Purdum (@DavidPurdum) December 26, 2023
This week, in an energy to get in the W column, I am likely above to FanDuel and having the Raiders +3.5 in opposition to the Colts, the Eagles laying 11.5 at dwelling from the Cardinals, the Bucs laying 2.5 at home versus the Saints, and the Chiefs laying a touchdown at property versus the Bengals. Comes in at +1228.
Rationale: The Eagles and Chiefs are in get-proper places at house. I experience like they both of those require statement games, and their opponents are eminently stateable. As for the Bucs and Saints? I just consider the Bucs are a greater staff, whole end. As for the Raiders, I’m participating in the mind activity in this article, with interim coach Antonio Pierce likely complete Raider with this crew — furthermore the Colts, not so great.
The on-paper, no question, 3-group teaser that’s sure to shed
Down to 7-8 — but continue to a wee bit lucrative with these +160 odds at BetMGM. This week, I’m hunting at my parlay above to get started: Chiefs supplying a position, Eagles offering 5.5 points, and let us insert in the Rams at even odds against the Giants.
Favored that would make me nervous
Nope, assumed the Colts would include in Atlanta, they didn’t, it’s been a rough year. Is it MLB year nevertheless? Anyway, this 7 days the most loved that helps make me nervous is the Colts offering 3.5 to the Raiders. At worst, this must be pick’em.
Participant props I like
Went -2 last week, down to 19-33. This is uncomfortable. Worst section is in previous many years I ordinarily get much better as the time wears on. Properly, if not “stronger,” at minimum “not objectively worse.”
This week …
David Montgomery at any time TD, +125 at FanDuel matched with Jahmyr Gibbs at any time TD at +138 at Caesars: This is a Brit Devine particular from our sister site ScoresAndOdds, and I’ve been hitting it the very last couple weeks. Bottom line: There has been just one particular week this season when both of those did not rating. All you need to have is a single to rating and you profit.
Chris Olave around 66.5 receiving yards at wager365, or any Olave about everywhere: While I consider the Bucs will get, I also know the Saints will be effective in the air. Olave has absent over this quantity 4 out of his last 5.
DeAndre Swift more than 66.5 speeding yards at -115 at FanDuel: Just a pristine matchup for Swift.
Did I earn the DraftKings Milly Maker?
Seriously. Choose a prolonged stroll off a shorter pier, Alright?
My mortal lock five-star only for my greatest shoppers just can’t lose certain ideal wager of the week
Up to 7-9, someway, as the Panthers someway included in opposition to the Packers. Can I get to 9-9 on the year? If so, it begins here with the Chiefs laying a landing. I refuse to believe Mahomes and Kelce never have just one much more operate in them.
