Despite a controversial no-fumble phone and three interceptions thrown by Tennessee Titans quarterback Ryan Tannehill, Mike Vrabel’s club nonetheless discovered a way in Week 1 of the NFL period to protect as a street underdog.
Titans +3.5 was the spread I touted on Sports activities Manage that week. And now I uncover myself drawn to Tennessee receiving details once more in Week 3.
In Week 2, Tannehill appeared like a new man, hitting a couple splash plays and completing 20 of 24 passes. He didn’t turn the ball over, he ran for a single touchdown and threw for a different, and the Titans knocked off the Chargers in an overtime thriller.
This week’s road matchup against Cleveland need to be enjoyable — that is, if you like unsightly, smash-mouth form football.
Cleveland is refreshing off a Monday night time reduction against Pittsburgh in which celebrity jogging back again Nick Chubb endured a ugly leg injuries, ending his season. You despise to see it. Chubb would seem like a excellent dude and he’s one of the best gamers at his place. He injured the exact leg in the course of his college times at Georgia. We’re all hoping for a whole recovery for him.
Irrespective, the betting line moved about a stage immediately after Monday night’s sport. I was fortuitous more than enough to hit Tennessee +4 on Monday early morning and I’m doubling down at +3.
Titanic tendencies for Vrabel’s groups
As mentioned in the 7 days 1 short article with regards to the Vrabel-period Titans, the club has been unreal as an underdog throughout his tenure. Due to the fact 2018, the Titans are 25-16-2 ATS as an underdog, which includes 15-10-1 on the street.
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Another angle backing the guests is that the Titans are 9-5 ATS with a rest benefit considering the fact that 2018, whilst the Browns are 5-7 ATS with a rest drawback all through the very same extend. We can also go back a 10 years and see that Cleveland has only protected as a residence favorite 37% of the time.
I’m also backing the below at 40.5 (-112, DraftKings) in this one. Equally groups rank in the leading 10 in team hurry percentage, which indicates the clock will maintain moving. And each defenses are amongst the five very best in football in hurrying yards for every participate in allowed.
Really don’t enable Monday night’s Pittsburgh vs. Cleveland final score of 26-22 fool you. The Browns played elite protection. The Steelers’ defense scored 2 times. Cleveland’s protection only gave up 12 points.
Via two online games, the Browns are one particular of only two teams yielding less than 200 yards for each game and have the best third-down conversion protection (20.7%). Just one look at the Titans and their 281.5 yards authorized for every recreation as a result of the air so much this period would make you consider I’m outrageous for liking the less than, but they’re genuinely a go-funnel defense.
Opponents typically have no selection but to go the soccer versus Tennessee, and their opponents led the league in move tries per video game (39.5) in 2022. Vrabel’s defense forces opponents to be just one-dimensional. Previous calendar year, the Titans experienced the 3rd-greatest 3rd down protection, and this calendar year, they are in line to be top 10 in that category once more.
Both equally Cleveland and Tennessee ought to be a little bit not comfortable offensively, but they will probable stick to their identities, particularly with Browns quarterback Deshaun Watson continue to having difficulties. But the most critical knowledge below is that the Browns have performed 6- to the beneath with a rest downside considering that head coach Kevin Stefanski took more than in 2020.
Ought to we identical-match parlay them jointly?
If we’re hunting to parlay the two picks — Tennessee and the underneath — DraftKings Sportsbook had the most effective exact same-sport parlay payout as of Tuesday early morning, pricing Ten +3 with less than 40.5 at +258. Since then, even so, the overall has come down 1 point. But DraftKings is also featuring the Titans +3.5 in its SGP section, and Ten +3.5/underneath 39.5 was +240 Wednesday early morning.
It’s Okay to roll the dice on parlays when in a while — but be guaranteed to retain bankroll administration in mind. For illustration, if I have solid conviction behind these picks, I’d possible throw just one device on each and every straight wager and then most likely .25 units (or 25% of my common wager amount of money) on the very same-recreation parlay with both picks integrated. Recall, sports activities betting is a marathon, not a sprint!
