So final 7 days was a disaster, picks-sensible, and I absolutely blame my brother. I’m sending him a invoice.
See, he lives out in San Francisco, and he’s been out there for like 15 many years or so, and I’ve under no circumstances been out to stop by with my wife and three young children.
Now prior to you tell me what a terrible person I am, know that he — and his spouse and four young ones — vacation back below to New Jersey twice a yr to pay a visit to. So why do I have to have to go out there? He’s the one who moved, not me. (This preamble has precious small to do with athletics betting, so come to feel free of charge to skip ahead to my terrible picks.)
In any case, his oldest kid was having his bar mitzvah, so I had to go out there. This despite just about 18 months of trying not to go. High-priced and all to fly my spouse and children out there. (Terrible man or woman, ideal?)
But in the end, we went. And we had a blast. My youngsters — 14, 12, and 9 — and his young children — 13, 11, and 7-calendar year-aged twins — have been overjoyed to expend time collectively. The affair was wonderful, and San Francisco was quite awesome. We acquired to do some light sightseeing and consume at some great places to eat.
It was more than really worth it, and all my belly-aching and nervousness and nonsense was a squander of time and power. (Some may possibly say I’m not only terrible, but also stupid. And emotionally stunted.)
Then, the day soon after we got home, with all this familial joy in my coronary heart, I felt ill. Not terrible, but not great. I chalked it up to submit-journey hoo-ha.
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The future working day, I spiked a fever. I discovered we experienced COVID tests lying close to, so I figured, “What the heck?”
You know how these exams say “wait 15 minutes” for final results? Perfectly, I didn’t have to hold out 15 minutes. About 15 seconds following I swished my snot all-around the matter, the double line came back again so rapidly it almost stood up.
And then, in rapid succession, my spouse and children got COVID. Certainly, we picked it up traveling.
This was my second time with COVID. To start with time, I did not even know I experienced it. Hardly a sniffle.
This time? For about 48 hours, I felt like I experienced louse-borne typhus on the Eastern Front all through World War I. It was unpleasant.
The worst of it was Wednesday via Friday, straight through the Thanksgiving video games and primary time for NFL analysis.
Did this halt me from betting and actively playing DFS? It did not.
So I missing, and shed everywhere, previous week. And that’s why I’m sending my brother the bill.
The +1000 or more parlay of the week
Now we’re -12. Uh-oh.
This week at DraftKings, likely beneath 47.5 in the Texans-Broncos sport, the Steelers moneyline at -238, the Eagles moneyline at +136, and the Panthers moneyline at +185.
Rationale: The Texans have beat up on bad defenses, and the Broncos are not a bad protection (as it turns out) the Steelers should handle a awful Cardinals team traveling for a 1 p.m. commence. The Eagles … oh, the Eagles. They have a such a “taking treatment of business” point heading on correct now, I have a tough time seeing them get rid of to any individual, even a group as proficient as the 49ers (and the point the Niners are favorites lets for a Bill Simmons-esqe “They do not believe that in us!” assertion video game). As for the Panthers, very well, the Bucs do their harm as a result of the air, and the Panthers are stout from the pass. Additionally, I’ll give them the typical “position mentor will take in excess of team, group rallies all around him” improve that appears to happen each time (see: Saturday, Jeff and Pierce, Antonio).
Anyway, this puppy of a bet comes in at +1739. One particular time, baby. One particular time.
The on-paper, no question, 3-staff teaser that is bound to get rid of
Down to 6-6 as the Lions did me — and every person else — in. Of training course, I saw this coming, stating in this house, “The Lions stress me.”
This 7 days, at +160 at BetMGM, gimme the Steelers decide on ‘em about the Cards, the Broncos +9 at Houston, and the Jaguars -2.5 at property from the Bengals.
Beloved that would make me nervous
Missed this a person, took the Broncos, and they received outright. Alas.
This 7 days, I’m using the opposite: The Texans as 3-place favorites about the Broncos can make me nervous. What can I say? I’m not bought on the Texans, at least not but.
Player props I like
Went 1-1 past week, down to 17-23, but was successful, as I had Brandin Cooks whenever touchdown at +240 for the earn, while I dropped Jared Goff’s passing yardage prop, going beneath 255.5.
Jaylen Waddle, about 67.5 getting yards, -110 at guess365: The most successful passing group in the league against the the very least successful passing defense workforce in the league. I also like Tyreek Hill about 97.5 yards.
Jameson Williams, about 23.5 getting yards, -110 at FanDuel: He is the official range three receiver on the Lions, has viewed his snap share soar, there is no Marshon Lattimore, and a person completion will get him there.
Adam Thielen, about 5.5 receptions, -115 at BetMGM: Tampa is a move funnel, primarily more than the center. It’s a rebound game for Thielen with a new offensive perform-caller.
Curtis Samuel, more than 3.5 receptions, -132 at FanDuel: The Commanders slot man ought to be occupied in what initiatives to be a superior-scoring affair in opposition to Miami.
Najee Harris whenever landing -105 at guess365: He is the Steelers back again when they strike the purple zone, and the Cardinals are abysmal versus the operate.
Did I win the DraftKings Milly Maker?
Why do I do this to myself.
My mortal lock 5-star only for my best prospects can’t reduce confirmed most effective wager of the week
Down to 4-8 right after taking the Raiders in what I referred to as a “double yuck” pick. I’m blaming COVID.
This 7 days, let us roll with the under in the Broncos-Texans. I just have a hard time seeing this match go 28-21.