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MLB Live In-Game Betting Cheat Sheet


Didn’t get your bet in before the first pitch? Don’t sweat it.

Live-betting baseball games can be just as entertaining and – if you know the right trends – profitable, too.

Below, we’ll break down MLB live-betting trends to know, including the best teams when scoring first and leading late, as well as the best comeback squads in baseball.

Here’s the latest 2023 MLB live in-game betting data:

Best MLB Teams When Leading

Team After Scoring First After 5th Inning After 7th Inning
Arizona 32-12 (+$1760.07) 31-8 (+$1961.23) 41-4 (+$3322.53)
Atlanta 41-16 (+$983.2) 42-9 (+$1714.45) 44-4 (+$2290.44)
Chi Cubs 21-15 (+$475.25) 30-7 (+$2168.45) 37-4 (+$3240.6)
Cincinnati 29-18 (+$1524.25) 30-3 (+$3076.84) 34-1 (+$3736.84)
Colorado 26-18 (+$1872.03) 22-6 (+$2616.06) 25-3 (+$3048.53)
Miami 32-10 (+$1919.3) 32-6 (+$2376.1) 36-4 (+$2776.54)
Houston 33-10 (+$1359.34) 37-7 (+$2033.37) 41-4 (+$2659.96)
LA Dodgers 32-12 (+$981.98) 36-5 (+$1996.23) 39-4 (+$2330.72)
Milwaukee 28-12 (+$1572.38) 30-7 (+$2193.56) 36-4 (+$3288.12)
Washington 23-13 (+$2183.4) 24-5 (+$3261.49) 28-4 (+$3920.73)
NY Mets 24-10 (+$789.53) 29-9 (+$1271.04) 35-4 (+$2238.93)
Philadelphia 37-16 (+$1397.64) 32-4 (+$2206.53) 36-3 (+$2613.78)
Pittsburgh 25-13 (+$1554.56) 26-7 (+$2196.97) 35-3 (+$3634.52)
San Diego 33-19 (+$369.0) 30-9 (+$1162.78) 36-7 (+$1864.93)
San Francisco 33-18 (+$1441.21) 30-7 (+$2208.69) 33-3 (+$2967.7)
St. Louis 25-11 (+$1016.13) 23-9 (+$1102.88) 25-6 (+$1623.64)
LA Angels 31-20 (+$666.04) 30-8 (+$1737.49) 36-6 (+$2399.44)
Baltimore 26-7 (+$1392.88) 33-2 (+$2784.57) 41-5 (+$3125.9)
Boston 22-9 (+$1538.29) 27-3 (+$2493.0) 35-2 (+$3447.06)
Chi White Sox 16-16 (+$77.85) 25-9 (+$1465.71) 28-6 (+$2045.24)
Detroit 25-14 (+$1990.94) 22-6 (+$2366.7) 29-3 (+$3778.37)
Kansas City 15-24 (-$358.18) 16-7 (+$1509.82) 18-3 (+$2261.82)
Minnesota 33-13 (+$1373.27) 31-6 (+$1849.32) 35-5 (+$2262.85)
NY Yankees 33-13 (+$1536.96) 32-6 (+$1946.27) 37-3 (+$2689.63)
Oakland 14-21 (+$255.0) 13-9 (+$1243.0) 12-5 (+$1579.0)
Seattle 25-17 (+$45.58) 27-10 (+$982.8) 34-4 (+$2137.1)
Tampa Bay 51-11 (+$2059.17) 44-8 (+$1966.5) 46-2 (+$2673.9)
Texas 35-14 (+$1167.41) 43-11 (+$2155.28) 49-6 (+$3323.12)
Toronto 33-12 (+$1389.96) 29-6 (+$1601.7) 37-4 (+$2489.93)
Cleveland 22-17 (+$351.45) 23-9 (+$1142.37) 31-4 (+$2430.75)

Data from the 2023 MLB season, so far. All profits are from pre-game outright lines, for a $100 unit size.

Rays Don’t Look Back

At this point, you shouldn’t be surprised if you see a statistical category in which the Rays aren’t ranked at the top. They’ve scored first in 70% of their games, and are up a whopping 20.59 units in live betting profits in those contests despite highly juiced prices.

Only Texas has taken more leads into the eighth inning than Tampa, and the Rays have blown a lead in just two of 48 such contests. Teams have been trying to figure out how to beat Tampa all year, and it seems safe to rule out the comeback win as the optimal strategy.

If you’re looking for other bullpens to bet on (or fade) check out our bullpen betting trends breakdown.

Nats Profitable With Lead

The best live bet after scoring first this season is… Washington? The 34-51 Nationals have scored first 36 times, holding on to win 23 of those contests. This record is unremarkable relative to the rest of the league, but what makes the Nats profitable in these spots is their tantalizing live price.

While World Series contenders immediately jump to -300 after scoring first, the books still expect Washington to lose after taking an early 1-0 lead. Bettors brave enough to back the Nats in these spots have been rewarded with 21.83 units of profit thus far.

Best MLB Teams When Losing

Team After Scoring Second After 5th Inning After 7th Inning
Arizona 18-24 (-$659.34) 10-22 (-$1208.57) 4-29 (-$2494.38)
Atlanta 16-12 (-$196.29) 7-16 (-$1092.94) 6-22 (-$1809.49)
Chi Cubs 18-30 (-$1225.04) 5-30 (-$2577.79) 1-36 (-$3544.44)
Cincinnati 18-21 (+$14.71) 11-23 (-$938.33) 7-32 (-$2214.48)
Colorado 7-36 (-$2754.5) 6-40 (-$3181.0) 4-45 (-$3895.0)
Miami 18-27 (-$909.51) 6-25 (-$1833.18) 6-27 (-$2017.39)
Houston 15-28 (-$1432.91) 8-21 (-$1281.57) 3-27 (-$2422.86)
LA Dodgers 15-26 (-$1436.96) 8-27 (-$2077.56) 5-27 (-$2316.5)
Milwaukee 18-28 (-$1069.3) 8-31 (-$2235.16) 3-32 (-$2982.61)
Washington 11-38 (-$1867.67) 7-38 (-$2650.76) 4-45 (-$3780.0)
NY Mets 15-36 (-$2434.62) 5-33 (-$2934.62) 0-37 (-$3700.0)
Philadelphia 8-23 (-$1704.91) 8-30 (-$2366.98) 5-32 (-$2787.45)
Pittsburgh 15-32 (-$1310.04) 6-33 (-$2426.95) 3-41 (-$3640.0)
San Diego 7-27 (-$2096.33) 5-32 (-$2772.97) 2-37 (-$3583.33)
San Francisco 13-22 (-$1022.27) 9-25 (-$1700.21) 8-34 (-$2730.21)
St. Louis 10-39 (-$2910.55) 4-33 (-$2964.27) 1-41 (-$3985.0)
LA Angels 14-23 (-$995.04) 5-31 (-$2554.35) 3-34 (-$3094.35)
Baltimore 23-28 (-$510.16) 9-26 (-$1801.09) 4-26 (-$2230.46)
Boston 21-34 (-$1294.23) 9-35 (-$2504.24) 6-36 (-$2995.0)
Chi White Sox 21-34 (-$1448.99) 5-36 (-$3013.18) 3-40 (-$3531.0)
Detroit 12-33 (-$1558.42) 7-32 (-$2141.33) 4-40 (-$3417.0)
Kansas City 10-37 (-$2077.04) 5-45 (-$3867.04) 6-53 (-$4347.04)
Minnesota 11-30 (-$2045.04) 7-28 (-$2108.54) 7-37 (-$3022.99)
NY Yankees 15-25 (-$1250.07) 7-24 (-$1712.72) 3-30 (-$2695.27)
Oakland 10-42 (-$2387.0) 6-44 (-$3366.0) 3-48 (-$4299.0)
Seattle 17-25 (-$980.64) 7-28 (-$2111.28) 4-34 (-$2985.95)
Tampa Bay 6-20 (-$1580.78) 7-19 (-$1403.44) 4-27 (-$2449.67)
Texas 16-21 (-$590.88) 3-20 (-$1658.95) 0-23 (-$2300.0)
Toronto 13-28 (-$1838.41) 6-29 (-$2373.63) 5-29 (-$2558.54)
Cleveland 20-26 (-$875.84) 12-23 (-$1162.8) 6-28 (-$2225.77)

Data from the 2023 MLB season, so far. All profits are from pre-game outright lines, for $100 unit size.

Cardinals Not Showing Resilience

Sitting in dead last in the NL Central, this season has been a nightmare for St. Louis. Their inability to face adversity is not helping their cause, as they have been dead in the water after giving up the initial run, winning just 10 of 49 such contests. 

52 of the Cardinals games have seen a run scored in the first inning, which is among the most in MLB. Considering its inability to come back, this is far from ideal for St. Louis. If you see the Cards give up a quick run in the opening frame, consider live betting their opponent if the price is right.

More Live MLB Betting Tips

Here are a few more general trends to keep in mind when making in-game baseball wagers:

  • How is the bullpen of the team you’re betting on performing? If it’s been locking down opposing offenses and is injury-free, don’t hesitate to pull the trigger. We’ve broken down the best bullpens in baseball to bet on and fade.
  • Live betting is often all about timing. Did the big favorite go down by a run in the first inning? If so, this might be a spot to jump on as they’ll be offering much better odds than they were before the game.
  • Sometimes a starting pitcher just doesn’t have it. His velocity is down and his breaking balls aren’t moving the way they should be. Pay close attention to the in-game commentary as this could indicate that the pitcher could implode in upcoming innings.
  • Did any players leave the game due to injury or they were pinch-hit for? This could have a major impact on a team’s ability to score runs.



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