And now, a voice from the upcoming:

Girls and gentlemen, let me to introduce you to the NFC’s No. 1 seed, the 13-4 Atlanta Falcons …

Appears to be insane, appropriate? The Falcons? Led by Arthur Smith, who looks hell-bent on building positive likely superstars Bijan Robinson, Kyle Pitts, and Drake London contact the ball as little as possible? The group that is at present 4-3, and has the 21st ranked offense and 22nd ranked defense by DVOA?

Yep. These Atlanta Falcons.

Do I actually assume the Falcons are likely to finish up as the No. 1 seed? Of training course not. But … this is who they perform the rest of the way: Titans, Vikings, Cardinals, Saints (twice), Jets, Bucs, Panthers, Colts, Bears.

How lots of of people groups are going to defeat the Falcons? 

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In the NFL betting streets, you can however get Atlanta at +115 at BetRivers to acquire the NFC South, and the team’s win full is established at 9.5 at FanDuel at +116 on the above. Are the Falcons going 6-4 towards people groups higher than? On paper, a difficult certainly.

One more crew with an awfully uncomplicated agenda the rest of the way — and yet another group in a awful division — is the Houston Texans. Their remaining timetable: Panthers, Bucs, Bengals, Cardinals, Jaguars, Broncos, Jets, Titans (2 times), Browns, and Colts.

The on-paper losses to arrive are in opposition to the Jaguars, and they’ll in all probability be underdogs from the Bengals, Browns, and it’s possible Jets. The rest? They’ll be favored. Is 10-7 so much-fetched below? Their win full is 8.5 at -110 at Caesars. And if you’re experience quite frisky, they are +450 at BetMGM to earn the AFC South.

There’s a lot of soccer still left, and while our brains are telling us we know who’s up and who’s down, a glance at the relaxation-of-year timetable may perhaps glow a light-weight at which groups may possibly go sideways from below.

Of training course, it functions each methods. If you’re a Bengals booster, you may perhaps want to switch the web page to 2024. That agenda is brutal.

Talking of brutal …

The +1000 or much more parlay of the week

And we’re -for-7. Am I nervous? Not but. Loads of runway still left.

This week, we’re back at DraftKings and I’m going with over 43.5 in the Eagles-Commanders sport, the Texans outright more than the Panthers at -185, the Falcons -2.5 more than the Titans, the Ravens -485 over the Cardinals, the Chiefs -325 in excess of the Broncos, and in excess of 44 in the Saints-Colts sport for a excellent-hunting +1555 range.

Rationale: The Eagles can strike the above on their possess, and the Commanders can finish the occupation in garbage time I’ll be using the more than in Colts game titles until eventually additional see the Falcons will be struggling with Will Levis and the Texans, Chiefs, and Ravens are all objectively substantially improved groups than the teams they are facing.

This is science, dude.

The on-paper, no doubt, 3-crew teaser that’s bound to lose

2nd loss in a row — the Payments did me in in opposition to the Patriots — which knocks my report down to 4-3. 

This 7 days, at BetMGM, it is the Chiefs -1 more than the Broncos, the Patriots +15.5 in Miami, and the Lions -2 over the Raiders. The Chiefs and Lions are obvious, and as for the Patriots … properly, it is just a large amount of details, and Belichick held it fairly shut in the very first assembly this calendar year involving these teams, so … yeah. Not thrilled with it, but it is what is.

Favored that makes me nervous

Fell to 3-4 as I mentioned the Ravens produced me nervous against the Lions. (Alright, so I had a negative 7 days very last 7 days. Lifestyle goes on.)

This week, the favored that has me shaking is Dallas -6 about the Rams. The Cowboys offense has been battling, the Cowboys protection is evidently not as fantastic with no Leighton Vander Esch and Trevon Diggs, and Sean McVay can out-mentor Mike McCarthy with his eyes closed. 

Participant props I like

Ok, it was not a very good week. Went -for-3. Down to 13-14.

This week’s dance card:

Breece Hall, above 67.5 speeding yards, -115 at BetMGM: The Giants are giving up over 137 yards on the floor for every activity this year. Finish examination.

Alvin Kamara, about 4.5 receptions, -115 at wager365: Kamara’s focus on count/reception rely this yr, sport by recreation, is 14/13, 3/3, 8/7, 14/12. Finish analysis.

Josh Downs above 3.5 receptions, -155 at wager365: In the 5 games Downs has performed with Gardner Minshew on the area, he has strike this selection each and every time. Conclude investigation.

Did I earn the DraftKings Milly Maker?

How about you just prevent asking, and if I gain, I’ll allow you know, m’kay?

My mortal lock 5-star only for my greatest prospects just can’t lose confirmed finest wager of the 7 days

Experienced the Lions very last week. I Experienced A Negative 7 days. Down to 3-4. Alright, this week, it’s the more than in the Birds-Commanders recreation. Let us go.

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